Paper Link Michael J. Roberts and Wolfram Schlenker: Identifying Supply and Demand Elasticities of Agricultural Commodities, American Economic Review, October 2013.
Paper Link Miriam Bruhn and Inessa Love: The Real Impact of Improved Access to Finance: Evidence from Mexico, Journal of Finance, June 2014
Paper Link Ronald Lee, Andrew Mason, and members of the NTA network : Is Low Fertility Really a Problem? Science, 10 October 2014.
We use a novel experimental design to identify the subjects’ strategies in an infinitely repeated prisoners’ dilemma experiment. We ask subjects to design strategies that will play in their place. We find that eliciting strategies has negligible effects on their behavior, supporting the validity of this method. We find the chosen strategies include some common ones such as Tit-For-Tat and Grim trigger. However, other strategies that are considered to have desirable properties, such as Win-Stay-Lose-Shift, are not prevalent. We also find that the strategies used to support cooperation change with the parameters of the game. Finally, our results confirm that long-run misscoordination can arise.
Textbook monetary theory holds that increasing the money supply leads to higher inflation. However, the Federal Reserve has tripled the monetary base since 2008 without inflation surging. With interest rates at historically low levels and the economy still struggling, the normal money multiplier process has broken down and inflation pressures remain subdued.